voter sentiment may upset the apple cart
AUTUMN TURNED OVER A NEW LEAF IN UKRAINIAN POLICY: OCTOBER POLL SHIFTED THE VOTERS’ ATTITUDES AND AFFECTED MAJOR POLITICAL TRENDS
According to the survey taken in October, 2018, should the presidential elections in Ukraine be held ‘this Sunday’, the biggest part of voters would give their votes to Yulia Tymoshenko (12.3%), Petro Poroshenko (8.2%), Volodymyr Zelenskiy (8.1%), and Vadim Rabinovich (7.3%). These politicians will be followed by Yuriy Boyko (6.8%), Anatoliy Gritsenko (6.7%), Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (5.8%), and Oleg Lyashko (5.7%).
For the first time, we also paid heed to the candidates who seem to obtain less support though remaining an integral part of Ukraine’s public voice.
They are Andriy Sadoviy, Illya Kiva, Oleksandr Shevchenko, Andriy Biletskiy, Valentyn Nalivaychenko, Viktor Chumak, and Yuriy Derevyanko. The poll embraced the politicians that would most likely participate in the elections.
As regards the parliamentary elections, the new Ukrainian parliament would consist of the following political parties: the Batkivschyna Party headed by Yulia Tymoshenko (11.2%), “Sluga Narodu” Party of Volodymyr Zelenskiy (9.2%), the Solidarnist Party of the incumbent Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko (7.7%), ”Za Zhittya” Party headed by Vadim Rabinovich (7.6%), Opposition Bloc headed by Yuriy Boyko (7.1%), the Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko (6.2%), and “Gromadyanska Pozitsiya” of Anatoliy Gritsenko (6.1%). More modest chances to be represented in the parliament are shared by “Samopomich” (Andriy Sadoviy), “Svoboda” (Oleg Tyagnibok), the Socialist Party of Ukraine (Illya Kiva), “Narodniy Front” (Arseniy Yatsenyuk), and several others.
Among the major political trends, the poll featured the comparative decline of public support enjoyed by Anatoliy Gritsenko and his party (“Gromadyanska Pozitsiya”).
Also, the survey witnessed the upsurge of smaller political figures, which, we believe, became a result of more active public campaigns launched immediately after the period of summer vacations.
The results of the survey are shown in the tables below.
The international research center BURI (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute) conducted the survey in Ukraine from September 28 to October 5, 2018. Total quantity of respondents equaled 2032 individuals (representational sample). The survey method – direct interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.